Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AIOZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.673493 0.787701 0.913277 1.061309 1.230737 1.418286 1.641299
2024-12-22 0.461519 0.605063 0.779322 1.005168 1.288715 1.631386 2.075168
2024-12-29 0.350852 0.511587 0.725333 1.027136 1.438452 1.975025 2.722682
2025-01-05 0.271131 0.437024 0.677185 1.043982 1.582230 2.333638 3.449826
2025-01-12 0.216024 0.382420 0.642998 1.070487 1.740801 2.734388 4.295172
2025-01-19 0.176729 0.341531 0.619083 1.105134 1.914149 3.178948 5.265853
2025-01-26 0.144662 0.303975 0.591377 1.126278 2.066918 3.610604 6.273112
2025-02-02 0.129744 0.293503 0.607199 1.222536 2.356574 4.295481 7.766126
2025-02-09 0.109603 0.267256 0.588082 1.251235 2.531248 4.809146 9.036069
2025-02-16 0.089384 0.235129 0.550246 1.236295 2.621960 5.185760 10.111427
2025-02-23 0.069917 0.198932 0.495734 1.176794 2.616409 5.385126 10.890080
2025-03-02 0.058108 0.177653 0.468607 1.168534 2.709131 5.774957 12.056625
2025-03-09 0.046528 0.154098 0.432675 1.138258 2.760720 6.109796 13.195008
2025-03-16 0.035445 0.128057 0.384458 1.070442 2.722138 6.264295 14.010789
2025-03-23 0.030111 0.117278 0.372783 1.088805 2.880626 6.847261 15.763143
2025-03-30 0.025539 0.107229 0.360588 1.103577 3.033852 7.439840 17.607000
2025-04-06 0.022052 0.099539 0.353174 1.129608 3.218897 8.125829 19.728124
2025-04-13 0.019328 0.093552 0.349337 1.164839 3.432886 8.903373 22.134130
2025-04-20 0.016699 0.086794 0.341261 1.186314 3.615009 9.629290 24.502847
2025-04-27 0.015930 0.087572 0.358429 1.286732 4.022897 10.936394 28.326180
2025-05-04 0.013974 0.082199 0.352987 1.316510 4.242448 11.812500 31.235613
2025-05-11 0.011645 0.073872 0.334484 1.300699 4.331588 12.376578 33.464629
2025-05-18 0.009161 0.063299 0.304068 1.238296 4.275280 12.565196 34.806759